Starting off- how will you pick your fantasy coursing selections?

With the Premier League about to start tomorrow, I’ve been inundated with requests to take part in Fantasy Football leagues. There’s only one fantasy sport I’m interested in this year though and that’s the Fantasy Coursing competition run by the Sporting Press. But how do you go about making your selection?

In truth, I’m probably the wrong man to ask. There are people at it much longer than I am who have enjoyed a great deal more success! That won’t stop me sharing my ideas or trying however.

One problem I’ve found over the past couple of seasons, is that I tend to over value form from Clonmel. While the hill in Powerstown Park may well be the acid test of a dog, it doesn’t necessarily play that form in Powerstown in February will work out the following autumn.

To elaborate, I feel somehow inclined to include dogs that have been standing on the final morning in Clonmel, ignoring dogs that failed to make it that far. Indeed, according to the record I’ve kept over the last couple of years, dogs who have failed to win Trial Stakes as Cup are more inclined to win All Age Cups than those who won Trial Stakes!

To try and counter this problem I did a little homework if only to prove to myself that I shouldn’t over-emphasize Clonmel form. The results were quite revealing.  Analysing the cups worn by the last 16 of the Derby between 2009 and 2013, revealed the following:

2013

Last 8 won– 4 Cups
Last 16 won– 11 Cups, Irish Cup

2012

Last 8 won– 4 Cups
Last 16 won– 6 Cups

2011

Last 8 won– 4 Cup, Champion Stakes
Last 16 won– 10 Cups, Irish Cup, Champion Stakes

2010

Last 8 won– 12 Cups
Last 16 won– 14 Cups

2009

Last 8 won– 1 Cup
Last 16 won– 1 Cup

Conclusions?

Without going back any further, or drawing any definitive conclusions, it’s clear that over the last couple of years we can expect the last 8 of the Derby in Clonmel to win, around 4 Cups between them. Central City was the only Derby winner to win a Cup of any description in his second season. Kyle Ranger the only dog making the last 8 to win either the Irish Cup or the Champion Stakes.

Taking this year’s last 8 in the Derby, there’s the seriously big question mark over the four dogs suspended through the opening weeks of the season. Should a risk be taken in including these dogs in selections?

For the first few Fantasy Coursing previews though, I’m going to take a look at the runners who performed well at the Irish Cup meeting and what they could offer to potential players.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s